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Our main macro thesis for the first half of 2025 is that another disinflationary wave will hit the US. We expect core PCE to annualize at or below 2% in H1 2025. Our Leading Inflation Indicator... The ...
The PCE price index accelerated for the third month in a row, to 2.6% year-over-year in December, the worst increase since May 2024. The durable goods PCE price index has ended its historic plunge ...
Unfortunately, the recent release of the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data for December was unable to further widen that rate differential. With all element roughly in line of ...
The Fed’s preferred gauge for inflation is the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, which came out this morning for the month of December. Results were as in-line with expectations as ...
December’s PCE report on Friday suggests that inflation finished 2024 above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, but it didn't spiral out of control, which is "the ideal outcome" from a stock ...
The PCE index rose 0.3% last month, the government said Friday, to mark the biggest increase since last April. The increase in inflation in the past year was at a seven-month high of 2.6% ...
The "core" Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which strips out food and energy costs and is closely watched by the central bank, rose 0.2% from the prior month during December ...
As we keep an eye on the macro landscape, the pivotal U.S. core PCE — the Fed’s go-to measure for inflation — is set to be released. Expectations are for a hot headline figure, with core ...
While Apple lags behind rivals in AI, analysts see long-term benefits from its strategy. Today’s PCE report will be a major market driver. If inflation data shows continued cooling, traders may ...