A recession indicator widely followed on Wall Street was just triggered by the July jobs report. But the person who created ...

While there are extremely accurate economic indexes that have successfully predicted recessions, there are also some pretty ...

A focus on GDP alone is narrow, and it is often better to consider a wider set of measures of economic activity to determine whether a country is indeed suffering a recession. Using other indicators ...

Unemployment remains low-ish, at 4.1%. The economy seems to have defied the “Sahm Recession Indicator,” which was talked a lot about a few months back. The current odds of a recession are now ...

His reasoning, he said, lies in the relationships of economic indicators that no longer mean what they’ve meant historically. For example, one of the recession indicators that might not be ...

The economy added 143,000 jobs in January and the unemployment rate was 4%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.

At this point, the yield curve maximalists have to be hoping for a recession triggered by a trade ... My favourite labour market indicator — the employment-to-population ratio — is doing ...

A gauge of leading indicators ticked up in November for the first time since February 2022 on a rising stock market and rebound in the construction sector following President-elect Donald Trump's win.