Hot January CPI Again, Investors Spooked, Fed Rate Cut Hopes Dashed
Bond traders now expect the earliest Fed rate cut in December, as inflation concerns dampen hopes for a first-half ease. Despite inflation worries, recession probability remains low at 20%, with future economic focus shifting to potential tax cuts and deregulation.
After the core inflation fell to 3.58% in December 2024, it has bounced back to 3.70% in January 2025. This is due to the ...
So much for more rate cuts! The first CPI print of the year just came in way hot. That immediately spiked bond yields, and ...
We are still feeling the effects of yesterday’s CPI. It’s not so much the BLS reading of headline and core CPI higher, but rather the Cleveland Fed’s median up 3.9% annualized (from 3.59%) and core up ...
Shelter inflation is gradually falling, as well as sticky inflation ex shelter, which is good news. Read why the recent ...
The consumer price index rose 3% on the year in January 2025. Economists worry that broad disinflation is over, even as ...
The jump in US inflation last month that surprised investors was mostly due to the way the government adjusts for typical ...
US CPI inflation data will be released today at 13h30 GMT time. Markets are paying close attention to today's release following a significant uptick in inflation expectations revealed in last week's ...
We finished 2024 with a slightly soft reading, but we began 2025 with a hot reading. Now, my admonition last month about the ...
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